Zach LaVine Points - Player Prop Bet 3/20/2023

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Zach LaVine

NBA · Player Props

Zach LaVine

G-F · Chicago Bulls

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Chicago Bulls · Mar 20, 2023

Updated Mar 20, 2023 8:16 PM EST

Analysis

Zach LaVine Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Zach LaVine has posted 24.1 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league by this standard: 97th percentile.
Zach LaVine has averaged 34.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 95th percentile.
The Chicago Bulls check in as the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the league this year.
The Chicago Bulls have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
While playing at home, the 76ers have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Zach LaVine has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.1 higher than he's committed in all games this season.
The matchup against the 76ers is a tough one; they have allowed the 6th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SFs since the start of last season (15.0).
The 76ers have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Bulls.
The Chicago Bulls rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Zach LaVine will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium tends to worsens player performance across the board.

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