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Zach LaVine

Zach LaVine Points
Player Prop - 3/1/2023

Detroit Pistons vs Chicago Bulls

Zach LaVine Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Zach LaVine has scored 24.1 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the league in this category: 97th percentile.

Zach LaVine has averaged 34.5 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 95th percentile.

The Chicago Bulls check in as the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the league this year.

The Chicago Bulls have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Pistons have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to more opportunities for the Bulls.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Zach LaVine has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.1 higher than he's been called for over the course of the year.

The matchup vs. the Pistons is a hard one for shot attempts from the field; the other team's starting SFs have tallied the 15th-least field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (11.0).

The Chicago Bulls rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

With the home court advantage, the Pistons have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Zach LaVine will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to worsens player production in all stat categories.

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