Zach Edey Points - Player Prop Bet 4/3/2025

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Zach Edey

NBA · Player Props

Zach Edey

C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies · Apr 3, 2025

Updated Apr 4, 2025 2:59 AM UTC

Analysis

Zach Edey Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Zach Edey has successfully made 100.0% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games, 63.0% higher than he's converted overall this season.
The matchup vs. Kel'el Ware is a positive one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when Ware is at home and matched up against opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a massive 2.4 treys per game (87th percentile).
The fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year has been the Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Zach Edey has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 25.8% more than he's converted over the course of the year when playing away from home.

Favors Under

Zach Edey has accumulated 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's accumulated over the course of the year.
The Grizzlies will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities today from sharing the court with the least up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league this year (the Heat).
The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs against Kel'el Ware has been remarkably low this year (2.3 foul shots per game: 10th percentile).
Zach Edey stands to experience a decrease in effectiveness for all stats as a result of being on the road in this contest.

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