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Zach Collins

Zach Collins Points
Player Prop - 3/8/2025

Miami Heat vs Chicago Bulls

Zach Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-129/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Zach Collins has sunk 64.1% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 17.9% more than he's converted in all games this year while playing on the road.

Zach Collins has been on the court for 29.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 15.0 more than he's been on the court for in all games this season.

In regard to offense, the Bulls's outstanding 117.8 points per game as the away team rates 5th-most in the league this year.

The matchup against Kel'el Ware is a strong one for treys; when Ware is on his home court opposing starting Cs this year, they have made a monstrous 1.3 three-point shots per game (100th percentile).

The 2nd-most up-tempo pace away team in the NBA this year has been the Chicago Bulls.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Zach Collins has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the season.

The Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league at home this year, which ought to decrease possessions for the Bulls.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Chicago Bulls rank 5thworst in in the NBA on the road with just 9.6 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

The showdown with Kel'el Ware in terms of getting to the charity stripe places in the 10th percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs attempting just 2.5 free throws per game this year.

Zach Collins is expected to suffer a drop-off in output in all stat categories considering playing away from home in this contest.

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