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Zach Collins

Zach Collins Points
Player Prop - 2/28/2025

Chicago Bulls vs Toronto Raptors

Zach Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-150/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Chicago Bulls rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league this year.

The matchup vs. Jakob Poeltl is a good one; he has allowed an enormous 16.0 points per game when guarding opposing starting Cs this year (93rd percentile).

The Bulls have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the league over the last 10 games as the home team.

The Chicago Bulls will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play road team in the league over the last 15 games (the Toronto Raptors).

The matchup against Jakob Poeltl is a strong one for getting to the foul line; when guarding other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a monstrous 4.4 free throws per game (100th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Relative to last season's 8.9 rate, Zach Collins's field goal attempts have regressed this season to 4.1 per game.

Zach Collins has attempted a measly 1.5 shots from downtown per game this year, significantly less than his 2.6 rate last year.

Relative to last year's 22.2 clip, Zach Collins's playing time has regressed this year to 13.1 minutes per game.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Bulls grade out 6thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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