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Zach Collins

Zach Collins Points
Player Prop - 2/26/2025

Chicago Bulls vs LA Clippers

Zach Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

As it relates to offense, the Bulls's impressive 116.4 points per game ranks 10th-strongest in the league this year.

The number of 3-pointers made against Ivica Zubac has been remarkably high (1.2 per game) when he is on the road and squaring off against other starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

The 2nd-quickest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Bulls.

The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs against Ivica Zubac has been very high this year (3.2 free throws per game when they have the home court advantage: 83rd percentile).

Zach Collins is expected to get a boost in effectiveness in all stat categories as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Zach Collins has attempted a lowly 3.9 shots per game this year, significantly lower than his 8.9 rate last year.

Zach Collins has attempted a measly 1.4 3-point shots per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 2.6 mark last season.

Zach Collins has tallied a measly 12.5 minutes per game this season, significantly less than his 22.2 minutes per game last season.

The Chicago Bulls will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from facing the 5th-most lethargic tempo away team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Clippers).

The Bulls rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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