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Zach Collins

Zach Collins Points
Player Prop - 3/25/2024

San Antonio Spurs vs Phoenix Suns

Zach Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Zach Collins has successfully made 65.3% of his attempts from downtown over the last 15 games, 29.4% higher than he's made from downtown overall this year.

The number of three-point shots sunk against Jusuf Nurkic has been remarkably high (0.8 per game) when he is away from his home court and squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year (90th percentile).

The 2nd-fastest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Spurs.

The Suns have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the San Antonio Spurs.

The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Zach Collins has been called for 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (97th percentile).

As it relates to scoring, the San Antonio Spurs's subpar 112.0 points per game rates 9th-weakest in the NBA this year.

Out of all players in the league, Zach Collins lands in the 78th percentile for unsuccessful foul shots while on his home court, compiling an enormous 0.6 per game this year.

The matchup against Jusuf Nurkic is a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; when defending fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted just 2.7 foul shots per game (10th percentile).

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