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Zach Collins

Zach Collins Points
Player Prop - 3/7/2024

Sacramento Kings vs San Antonio Spurs

Zach Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Zach Collins has successfully made 79.2% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games on the road, 48.2% more than he's sunk over the course of the year when playing away from home.

The matchup vs. Domantas Sabonis is a strong one for field goals; when Sabonis is playing at home other starting Cs this year, they have made a colossal 6.0 buckets per game (97th percentile).

The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home court.

The Sacramento Kings have played at the 9th-speediest pace in the league in their home stadium this year, which should raise possessions for the Spurs.

The Kings have allowed the least offensive boards per game (8.9) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Zach Collins has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game while on the road this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.

Over the last 15 games when they are on the road, opposing squads have shot 51.1% on field goals (highest in the NBA) against the Sacramento Kings, marking this as a favorable matchup.

The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Zach Collins has shot and missed 1.4 foul shot attempts per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's missed overall this season.

The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs against Domantas Sabonis has been very low this year (2.8 free throw attempts per game: 20th percentile).

More Zach Collins Player Props

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