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Zach Collins

Zach Collins Points
Player Prop - 3/3/2024

San Antonio Spurs vs Indiana Pacers

Zach Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-115/-112).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Zach Collins has made 79.2% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games, 47.4% more than he's sunk in all games this season.

The matchup against the Pacers is a tough one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; opposing teams have totaled the fewest 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (28.9).

The Spurs have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

The San Antonio Spurs will likely see a rise in possessions today from squaring off against the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Pacers).

The San Antonio Spurs have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Zach Collins has accumulated 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (97th percentile).

The Spurs have been the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

Away from their home court, the Pacers have given up the 9th-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the league to opposing teams over the last 6 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Zach Collins has attempted and missed 1.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's missed overall this year.

This matchup is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; their opposition has attempted a whopping 26.3 free throws per game this year (most in the NBA).

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