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Zach Collins

Zach Collins Points
Player Prop - 2/27/2024

Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs

Zach Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Zach Collins has successfully made 41.7% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games on the road, 14.3% higher than he's made from downtown over the course of the season while on the road.

The matchup vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves is a difficult one; they have given up the least points per game in the league to the other team this year (106.4).

The 2nd-fastest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Spurs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Zach Collins ranks in the 93rd percentile for personal fouls, averaging a monstrous 2.9 fouls per game on the road this year.

The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Spurs.

Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the San Antonio Spurs rank 7thworst in in the NBA while on the road with just 9.9 offensive boards per game this year.

Over the last 5 games, opposing clubs have nabbed 11.6 offensive rebounds per game (9th-highest in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves (continuing possessions that can produce bonus chances for offense).

Zach Collins has attempted and missed 1.0 foul shot attempts per game over the last 5 games, 0.4 higher than he's missed overall this year.

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