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Zach Collins

Zach Collins Points
Player Prop - 2/14/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs

Zach Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+105/-135).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks is a tough one for 3-pointers; their opposition has tallied the 9th-least threes per game in the NBA over the last 5 games (11.6).

The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the league this year.

The Spurs will likely see a rise in opportunities today from being pitted against the most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

Zach Collins has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 19.0% higher than he's converted in all games this season.

Over the last 5 games, the other team has attempted 16.4 free throws per game (4th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Compared to last season's 53.8% rate, Zach Collins's field goal performance has regressed this season to 47.5%.

Zach Collins has been called for 3.1 personal fouls per game on the road this year, placing him in the 96th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.

The Spurs check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Dallas Mavericks have given up the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (11.4) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Zach Collins figures to suffer a drop-off in efficiency for all stats in light of playing away from home in this matchup.

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