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Zach Collins

Zach Collins Points
Player Prop - 2/7/2024

Miami Heat vs San Antonio Spurs

Zach Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Spurs have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 20 games away from their home court.

The San Antonio Spurs have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

This year when they are the visiting team, the other team has snagged 9.0 offensive boards per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat (shortening possessions that could otherwise generate added opportunities for offense).

Zach Collins has attempted 3.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 1.3 higher than he's attempted in all games this year on the road.

The matchup vs. the Heat may be a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing squads have attempted just 18.5 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Heat are on their home court (3rd-least in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In comparison to last year's 53.8% mark, Zach Collins's shooting prowess has fallen this year to 48.0%.

Zach Collins has accumulated 3.0 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 95th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.

As it relates to threes, the San Antonio Spurs's poor 34.2% rate of made threes ranks worst in the league this year.

This matchup is a positive one for shots from behind the three-point arc; opposing clubs have averaged the most three attempts per game in the league over the last 20 games when the Heat have the home court advantage (38.3).

Zach Collins will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to reduce player production across the board.

More Zach Collins Player Props

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