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Zach Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-105/-115).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -115.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Zach Collins has made 44.6% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 10 games at home, 9.5% more than he's made over the course of the season on his home court.In terms of 3-point attempts, the 6th-most aggressive offense in the league while at home over the last 25 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 3rd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games with the home court advantage.The Cavaliers have allowed the least offensive boards per game (8.8) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).Out of all players in the league, Zach Collins comes in at the 75th percentile for drawing fouls, totaling a monstrous 2.5 foul shot attempts per game this year.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Out of all players in the league, Zach Collins lands in the 99th percentile for personal fouls, registering an enormous 3.3 fouls per game this year.The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, which should reduce opportunities for the San Antonio Spurs.Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Spurs rank 10thworst in in the NBA with just 10.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.This matchup is a favorable one for drawing fouls; when the Cleveland Cavaliers are the visiting team, opposing squads have attempted a whopping 24.8 free throws per game this year (7th-most in the league).
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