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Zach Collins

Zach Collins Points
Player Prop - 1/26/2024

San Antonio Spurs vs Portland Trail Blazers

Zach Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Spurs have been the 4th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing at home when it comes to shot attempts from beyond the arc.

This matchup is a tough one for 3-pointers; when the Portland Trail Blazers are the visiting squad, their opposition has put up the lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (33.5%).

The fastest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Spurs.

Zach Collins has made 1.9 foul shots per game this year, ranking in the 76th percentile among all players in the league.

Zach Collins will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home tends to increase player performance in all facets of the game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Zach Collins has failed to convert 2.4 attempts from beyond the arc per game this season, significantly more than his 1.5 mark last season.

Among all players in the NBA, Zach Collins measures in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a colossal 3.3 fouls per game this year.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Spurs grade out 7thworst in in the league with only 10.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Over the last 25 games when they have the home court advantage, their opposition has grabbed 11.3 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the Trail Blazers (maintaining possessions that can lead to more opportunities for offense).

This matchup may be a strong one for drawing fouls; when the Trail Blazers are away from home, opposing squads have attempted a whopping 25.3 foul shots per game over the last 25 games (most in the league).

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