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Zach Collins

Zach Collins Points
Player Prop - 11/30/2023

San Antonio Spurs vs Atlanta Hawks

Zach Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-112/-108).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Zach Collins has attempted 4.1 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 2.3 rate last season.

Compared to last year's 22.7 rate, Zach Collins's playing time has surged this year to 30.9 minutes per game.

The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 7th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc.

The Spurs have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games on their home court.

The San Antonio Spurs will likely see a rise in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Hawks).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, Zach Collins comes in at the 99th percentile for personal fouls, compiling an enormous 3.7 fouls per game this year.

The matchup against Atlanta is a difficult one for 3-pointers; when the Hawks are on their home court, the opposing team's starting Cs have averaged the 13th-least 3-pointers per game in the league this year (0.3).

The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

This year when they are at home, their opposition has captured 12.1 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Atlanta Hawks (lengthening possessions that can produce bonus chances for offense).

The matchup against Atlanta may be a hard one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting Cs have attempted a lowly 1.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Hawks are away from home (12th-least in the league).

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