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Zach Collins

Zach Collins Points
Player Prop - 11/26/2023

Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs

Zach Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Zach Collins has attempted 10.9 field goals per game this year, significantly higher than his 8.7 mark last year.

In comparison to last year's 2.3 mark, Zach Collins's shots from behind the three-point arc have risen this year to 4.1 per game.

Zach Collins has played a whopping 29.2 minutes per game this year, a significant increase from his 22.4 minutes per game last year.

The 2nd-speediest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 10 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.

The San Antonio Spurs have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA without the home court advantage since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The San Antonio Spurs have been the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

The matchup against the Nuggets is a tough one for 3-point attempts; the opposition's starting Cs have averaged the 15th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (0.9).

The San Antonio Spurs will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from competing against the 4th-least up-tempo pace team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).

Without the home court advantage, the Nuggets have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.7) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup against Denver is a challenging one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting Cs have attempted a measly 2.9 foul shots per game this year when the Denver Nuggets are on their home court (6th-least in the league).

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