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Zach Collins

Zach Collins Points
Player Prop - 11/17/2023

San Antonio Spurs vs Sacramento Kings

Zach Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Zach Collins has successfully made 64.5% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 7.8% more than he's put through the net in all games this year.

Zach Collins has attempted 4.6 treys per game this season, quite a bit more than his 2.4 rate last season.

Zach Collins has played a whopping 32.8 minutes per game this season, quite a bit more than his 22.7 minutes per game last season.

With respect to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 10th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Spurs.

The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the league as the road team this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting Cs have tallied 0.2 threes per game (13th-lowest in the league) vs. the Kings, identifying this as a difficult matchup.

The Spurs are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 6th-most sluggish tempo offense in the league this year (the Kings).

The San Antonio Spurs have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Kings may be a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting Cs have attempted a measly 1.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (14th-least in the NBA).

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