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Zach Collins

Zach Collins Points
Player Prop - 11/12/2023

San Antonio Spurs vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Zach Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -122.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Relative to last season's 8.5 mark, Zach Collins's shots have risen this season to 11.3 per game.
  • Compared to last season's 2.4 clip, Zach Collins's three-point attempts have surged this season to 4.8 per game.
  • Zach Collins has averaged an impressive 32.8 minutes per game this year, significantly more than his 22.7 minutes per game last year.
  • In terms of scoring, the San Antonio Spurs's exceptional 49.3% field goal rate with the home court advantage comes in as the 9th-most in the NBA this year.
  • This year, the opposing team's starting Cs have shot 71.1% on field goal attempts (30th-best in the NBA) vs. the Heat, making this a favorable matchup.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Relative to last year's 3.3 clip, Zach Collins's personal fouls per game have jumped this year to 4.3.
  • The Spurs rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting Cs have attempted 1.4 free throws per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) against the Heat, struggling to get to the foul line.

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