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Zach Collins

Zach Collins Points
Player Prop - 4/8/2023

San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Zach Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a hard one for three-point attempts; opposing clubs have averaged the least 3-point attempts per game in the league over the last 20 games (29.6).

The San Antonio Spurs have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.

The Timberwolves have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which should increase plays for the Spurs.

The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Timberwolves have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

As a team, the San Antonio Spurs have been lousy at getting to the free throw line: worst in the league this year, tallying a lowly 21.1 free throw attempts per game.

This matchup is a strong one for getting to the foul line; opposing squads have attempted a massive 26.0 foul shots per game this year (2nd-most in the NBA).

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