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Zach Collins

Zach Collins Points
Player Prop - 3/17/2023

San Antonio Spurs vs Memphis Grizzlies

Zach Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Zach Collins has sunk 58.7% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 8.1% higher than he's made over the course of the year.

Zach Collins has made 37.7% of his 3-point attempts this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile among all players in the NBA.

The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.

The Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to increase possessions for the Spurs.

The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Zach Collins has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league (78th percentile).

The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 5th-least aggressive offense in the league playing at home this year in terms of 3-point attempts.

The matchup against Memphis is a hard one for 3-pointers; when the Grizzlies are the visiting squad, opposing starting PFs have averaged the 15th-least 3-pointers per game in the league this year (1.0).

The Grizzlies have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Grizzlies is a difficult one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting Cs have attempted just 2.9 free throws per game this year (10th-least in the league).

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