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Zach Collins

Zach Collins Points
Player Prop - 3/12/2023

San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Zach Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Zach Collins has sunk 58.7% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 8.1% more than he's made overall this season.

Zach Collins has sunk 37.7% of his three-point attempts this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile among all players in the NBA.

The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The Thunder have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to more opportunities for the Spurs.

The San Antonio Spurs have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Zach Collins has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (78th percentile).

The San Antonio Spurs have been the 5th-least aggressive offense in the NBA on their home court this year as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc.

The matchup vs. the Thunder is a challenging one; they have given up the 14th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting Cs this year (11.3).

While playing away from home, the Thunder have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.7) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup against Oklahoma may be a challenging one for getting to the free throw line; the opposing team's starting Cs have attempted a measly 1.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Thunder are the visiting team (12th-least in the NBA).

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