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Zach Collins

Zach Collins Points
Player Prop - 3/10/2023

San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets

Zach Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Zach Collins has made 58.7% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 8.1% more than he's sunk in all games this year.

Zach Collins has successfully made 37.7% of his three-pointers this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the NBA.

The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The Nuggets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Spurs.

The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Zach Collins has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA (78th percentile).

The San Antonio Spurs have been the 5th-least aggressive offense in the NBA while at home this year when it comes to attempts from downtown.

The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a hard one for threes; the opposition's starting PFs have totaled the 9th-least treys per game in the league this year (1.3).

The matchup against Denver is a difficult one for getting to the free throw line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted just 2.6 free throws per game this year when the Nuggets are the visiting team (11th-least in the NBA).

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