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Zach Collins

Zach Collins Points
Player Prop - 2/23/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs

Zach Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Zach Collins has sunk 64.3% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 15.1% more than he's made in all games this season while playing on the road.

Zach Collins has sunk 37.7% of his three-point shots this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile among all players in the league.

The matchup against the Mavericks is a positive one for threes; the opposing team's starting Cs have shot for the 27th-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (37.5%).

The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games without the home court advantage.

The San Antonio Spurs have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Zach Collins has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling when it comes to getting T'ed up.

The Mavericks have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Spurs.

As a team, the San Antonio Spurs have been poor at drawing fouls when playing on the road: worst in the NBA this year with a measly 19.1 free throws per game.

Zach Collins will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally reduces player production across the board.

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