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Zach Collins

Zach Collins Points
Player Prop - 1/23/2023

Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs

Zach Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Zach Collins has converted 47.6% of his shots from downtown this year, ranking in the 97th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Zach Collins has sunk 87.5% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 16.1% higher than he's made over the course of the year.

The San Antonio Spurs have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court (which can also create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The Spurs have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home stadium, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Trail Blazers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Zach Collins has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game this year, quite a bit more than his 2.4 fouls per game last year.

The matchup against the Trail Blazers may be a tough one for getting to the free throw line; their opposition have attempted a mere 27.2 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (3rd-least in the league).

The matchup against the Trail Blazers is a challenging one for scoring; while playing at home, opposing squads have put up the 5th-lowest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (48.2%).

As a team, the San Antonio Spurs have been lousy at getting to the foul line while playing away from home: worst in the NBA this year, tallying a mere 20.5 free throw attempts per game.

Zach Collins will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court usually lowers player performance in all facets of the game.

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