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Zach Collins

Zach Collins Assists
Player Prop - 3/7/2024

Sacramento Kings vs San Antonio Spurs

Zach Collins Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Zach Collins has put up 3.0 assists per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this metric: 78th percentile.

The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home court.

The Sacramento Kings have played at the 9th-speediest pace in the league in their home stadium this year, which should raise possessions for the Spurs.

The Kings have allowed the least offensive boards per game (8.9) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Zach Collins has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game while on the road this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.

The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Zach Collins will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling generally lowers stat production across the board.

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