Xavier Tillman Steals - Player Prop Bet 1/24/2024

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Xavier Tillman

NBA · Player Props

Xavier Tillman

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Steals

Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 24, 2024

Updated Jan 25, 2024 12:33 AM EST

Analysis

Xavier Tillman Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+129/-179).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +139 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +129.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Xavier Tillman has averaged 2.0 steals per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's averaged in all games this year.
Xavier Tillman has played 29.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.2 higher than he's played in all games this season.
The 10th-fastest pace road team in the league this year has been the Grizzlies.

Favors Under

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA this year, which should decrease plays for the Grizzlies.
Xavier Tillman will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to lower stat production in all stat categories.

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