Xavier Tillman Steals - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2023

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Xavier Tillman

NBA · Player Props

Xavier Tillman

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Steals

Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies · Mar 3, 2023

Updated Mar 4, 2023 2:26 AM EST

Analysis

Xavier Tillman Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+175/-215).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +190 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +175.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Xavier Tillman has totaled 0.9 steals per game this year, ranking in the 76th percentile -- among the best in the league by this metric over this stretch of games.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games at home, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Grizzlies.

Favors Under

Xavier Tillman has been on the court for 13.1 minutes per game this year, some of the lowest playing time of any player in the league: 24th percentile.
Xavier Tillman will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually lowers player performance across the board.

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