Xavier Tillman Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2024

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Xavier Tillman

NBA · Player Props

Xavier Tillman

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Rebounds

Memphis Grizzlies vs Sacramento Kings · Jan 29, 2024

Updated Jan 30, 2024 1:13 AM EST

Analysis

Xavier Tillman Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Xavier Tillman has put up 2.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games, 0.5 higher than he's put up overall this year.
Xavier Tillman has played 26.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 4.8 higher than he's played in all games this year at home.
The Kings have played at the 9th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Grizzlies.
The Kings have given up the least offensive boards per game (9.3) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Xavier Tillman will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city tends to improve player production across the board.

Favors Under

The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Memphis Grizzlies grade out 8thworst in in the NBA with just 10.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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