Xavier Tillman Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/26/2024

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Xavier Tillman

NBA · Player Props

Xavier Tillman

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Rebounds

Memphis Grizzlies vs Orlando Magic · Jan 26, 2024

Updated Jan 27, 2024 1:32 AM EST

Analysis

Xavier Tillman Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Xavier Tillman has totaled 2.1 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games, 0.5 more than he's totaled over the course of the season.
Xavier Tillman has played 27.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.7 higher than he's played in all games this year.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
The Orlando Magic have allowed the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (9.7) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Xavier Tillman will likely see a spike in production in all stat categories on account of holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

The 7th-most sluggish tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Magic have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Memphis Grizzlies.

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