Xavier Tillman Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/18/2023

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Xavier Tillman

NBA · Player Props

Xavier Tillman

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Rebounds

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 18, 2023

Updated Dec 19, 2023 1:08 AM EST

Analysis

Xavier Tillman Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-135/+105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA when playing on the road this year.
The Grizzlies will likely see a rise in plays in this contest from facing the 6th-speediest pace home offense in the league this year (the Oklahoma City Thunder).

Favors Under

Xavier Tillman has averaged a mere 1.4 offensive boards per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 2.1 offensive boards per game last season.
The Grizzlies have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
This year, opposing clubs have grabbed 14.0 offensive rebounds per game (most in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder (preserving possessions that can produce further opportunities for offense).
Xavier Tillman figures to suffer a reduction in output for all stats due to playing away from home in this contest.

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