Xavier Tillman Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2023

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Xavier Tillman

NBA · Player Props

Xavier Tillman

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Rebounds

Chicago Bulls vs Memphis Grizzlies · Apr 2, 2023

Updated Apr 3, 2023 2:11 AM EST

Analysis

Xavier Tillman Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Xavier Tillman has averaged 2.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's averaged in all games this year.
Xavier Tillman has averaged 29.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 11.0 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Xavier Tillman has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, 1.0 higher than he's committed over the course of the year on the road.
The Bulls have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games on their home court, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Grizzlies.
When playing at home, the Bulls have allowed the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
Xavier Tillman will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally lowers stat production in all stat categories.

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