Xavier Tillman Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2023

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Xavier Tillman

NBA · Player Props

Xavier Tillman

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Rebounds

Memphis Grizzlies vs LA Clippers · Mar 29, 2023

Updated Mar 30, 2023 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Xavier Tillman Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-122/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Xavier Tillman has put up 2.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games with the home court advantage, 0.8 more than he's put up in all games this year at home.
Xavier Tillman has tallied 26.7 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 8.3 more than he's tallied overall this year.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games at home.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Xavier Tillman will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally boosts player performance across the board.

Favors Under

The Clippers have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Grizzlies.
The Clippers have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

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