Xavier Tillman Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/17/2023

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Xavier Tillman

NBA · Player Props

Xavier Tillman

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Rebounds

San Antonio Spurs vs Memphis Grizzlies · Mar 17, 2023

Updated Mar 17, 2023 9:28 PM EST

Analysis

Xavier Tillman Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+116/-142).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -142.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Xavier Tillman has posted 1.3 offensive rebounds per game this year, putting him in the 79th percentile -- among the league leaders in this category recently.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Spurs have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to boost opportunities for the Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Xavier Tillman has averaged 13.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the least-utilized plays in the NBA: 24th percentile.
The Spurs have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Xavier Tillman will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling tends to reduces player production in all facets of the game.

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