Xavier Tillman Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/11/2023

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Xavier Tillman

NBA · Player Props

Xavier Tillman

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Rebounds

Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 11, 2023

Updated Mar 12, 2023 4:05 AM EST

Analysis

Xavier Tillman Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Xavier Tillman has tallied 2.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.9 more than he's tallied over the course of the season at home.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the speediest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
When playing away from home, the Mavericks have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Xavier Tillman will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage tends to increases stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Xavier Tillman has tallied 13.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the least-used players in the NBA: 24th percentile.
The Mavericks have played at the most lethargic pace in the league this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Grizzlies.

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