Xavier Tillman Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/2/2023

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Xavier Tillman

NBA · Player Props

Xavier Tillman

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Rebounds

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Feb 2, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Xavier Tillman Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Xavier Tillman has posted 4.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 2.6 higher than he's posted overall this season.
Xavier Tillman has averaged 1.0 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the least lowest-fouling players in the NBA (16th percentile).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Cavaliers have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Xavier Tillman has tallied 12.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the least-used players in the NBA: 21st percentile.
The Cavaliers have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should decrease possessions for the Grizzlies.
Xavier Tillman will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually lowers player production in all stat categories.

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