Xavier Tillman Points - Player Prop Bet 3/17/2024

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Xavier Tillman

NBA · Player Props

Xavier Tillman

F · Boston Celtics

Points

Washington Wizards vs Boston Celtics · Mar 17, 2024

Updated Mar 17, 2024 10:56 PM EST

Analysis

Xavier Tillman Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Xavier Tillman has converted 60.1% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 18.0% more than he's sunk overall this season.
The Boston Celtics will likely see a rise in plays today from facing the most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Wizards).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Celtics rank 2nd-best in in the NBA when playing on the road with 13.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Xavier Tillman has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 53.5% higher than he's converted in all games this year.

Favors Under

The Boston Celtics have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing on the road.
In regard to drawing fouls, the Boston Celtics's subpar 17.2 free throws per game rates worst in the league over the last 20 games.
Xavier Tillman ought to see a decline in effectiveness across the board considering playing away from home in this game.

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