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Xavier Tillman

Xavier Tillman Points
Player Prop - 1/28/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Memphis Grizzlies

Xavier Tillman Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-130/+100).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In regard to three-point attempts, the most aggressive team in the league while playing away from home over the last 25 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.

This year, opposing squads have tallied 28.2 three attempts per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Indiana Pacers, branding this as a tough matchup.

The Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games as the road team.

The Memphis Grizzlies are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from competing against the speediest pace-of-play home team in the league this year (the Pacers).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Xavier Tillman has sunk 37.7% of his shot attempts from the field this year, ranking him in the 17th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

The Grizzlies have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

While on their home court, the Indiana Pacers have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the league to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Xavier Tillman has sunk just 41.8% of his foul shot attempts this year, quite a bit less than his 54.4 rate last year.

This matchup is a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing squads have attempted a massive 27.5 foul shots per game this year (most in the league).

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