Xavier Tillman Points - Player Prop Bet 1/26/2024

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Xavier Tillman

NBA · Player Props

Xavier Tillman

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Orlando Magic · Jan 26, 2024

Updated Jan 27, 2024 1:04 AM EST

Analysis

Xavier Tillman Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-118/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Xavier Tillman has played 27.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.7 higher than he's played in all games this year.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
The Orlando Magic have allowed the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (9.7) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Xavier Tillman will likely see a spike in production in all stat categories on account of holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

In contrast to last season's 59.9% clip, Xavier Tillman's field goal performance has diminished this season to 38.0%.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The 7th-most sluggish tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Magic have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Memphis Grizzlies.
Xavier Tillman has sunk just 41.0% of his free throws this season, significantly lower than his 54.4 rate last season.

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