Xavier Tillman Points - Player Prop Bet 1/22/2024

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Xavier Tillman

NBA · Player Props

Xavier Tillman

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 22, 2024

Updated Jan 23, 2024 2:52 AM EST

Analysis

Xavier Tillman Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-134/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -124 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -134.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Xavier Tillman has made 5.2 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 more than he's sunk in all games this season.
Xavier Tillman has tallied 32.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 11.4 higher than he's tallied in all games this season.
The faceoff with Jontay Porter registers in just the 96th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs registering a whopping 18.8 points per game this year when they are on the road.
The 9th-speediest tempo road offense in the NBA this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies are expected to see a spike in possessions today from competing against the 10th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Raptors).

Favors Under

The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
This matchup is a favorable one for shots from the field; their opposition has compiled the 6th-highest FG% in the NBA over the last 20 games (49.4%).
Compared to last season's 54.4% clip, Xavier Tillman's free-throw ability has fallen this season to 40.1%.
Xavier Tillman will likely experience a decrease in efficiency across the board as a result of being on the road in this contest.

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