Xavier Tillman Points - Player Prop Bet 1/20/2024

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Xavier Tillman

NBA · Player Props

Xavier Tillman

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 20, 2024

Updated Jan 21, 2024 3:22 AM EST

Analysis

Xavier Tillman Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

When defending opposing starting Cs, Nikola Vucevic slots into the 100th percentile with a colossal 2.6 three-point shots attempted against him per game this year.
The 5th-quickest pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Grizzlies rank 2ndbest in in the NBA with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs vs. Nikola Vucevic has been remarkably high (4.2 free throw attempts per game) when facing other starting Cs this year (89th percentile).

Favors Under

As it relates to shooting, the Grizzlies's lackluster 108.1 points per game places 2nd-fewest in the NBA this year.
The Memphis Grizzlies will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from facing the slowest pace offense in the league this year (the Bulls).
Over the last 20 games when they are on the road, their opposition has snagged 11.4 offensive boards per game (6th-most in the league) vs. the Chicago Bulls (preserving possessions that can bring about further opportunities for offense).

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