Xavier Tillman Points - Player Prop Bet 1/18/2024

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Xavier Tillman

NBA · Player Props

Xavier Tillman

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 18, 2024

Updated Jan 19, 2024 2:57 AM EST

Analysis

Xavier Tillman Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Xavier Tillman has converted 4.2 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year.
Xavier Tillman has played 25.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.4 higher than he's played over the course of the season.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games as the away team.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies rank 1stbest in in the league with 14.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

In regard to shooting, the Grizzlies's lackluster 108.3 points per game ranks fewest in the league this year.
In contrast to last season's 54.4% clip, Xavier Tillman's foul-shot proficiency has regressed this season to 40.1%.
Xavier Tillman figures to suffer a reduction in efficiency across the board due to being on the road in this game.

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