Xavier Tillman Points - Player Prop Bet 12/18/2023

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Xavier Tillman

NBA · Player Props

Xavier Tillman

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 18, 2023

Updated Dec 19, 2023 1:13 AM EST

Analysis

Xavier Tillman Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

In comparison to last year's 5.2 rate, Xavier Tillman's shots have increased this year to 7.3 per game.
As it relates to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 5th-most aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Grizzlies.
The matchup vs. the Thunder is a good one; they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the league to opposing starting Cs over the last 10 games (18.9).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA when playing on the road this year.
The Grizzlies will likely see a rise in plays in this contest from facing the 6th-speediest pace home offense in the league this year (the Oklahoma City Thunder).

Favors Under

The Grizzlies have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
This year, opposing clubs have grabbed 14.0 offensive rebounds per game (most in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder (preserving possessions that can produce further opportunities for offense).
Compared to last year's 54.4% clip, Xavier Tillman's foul-shot performance has declined this year to 36.7%.
Xavier Tillman figures to suffer a reduction in output for all stats due to playing away from home in this contest.

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