Xavier Tillman Points - Player Prop Bet 4/5/2023

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Xavier Tillman

NBA · Player Props

Xavier Tillman

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Memphis Grizzlies · Apr 5, 2023

Updated Apr 5, 2023 11:06 PM EST

Analysis

Xavier Tillman Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Pelicans have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.6) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Pelicans may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; the other team have attempted a lowly 21.3 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Pelicans are on their home court (7th-least in the league).

Favors Under

This matchup is a strong one for attempts from downtown; opposing teams have averaged the 4th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA over the last 5 games when the Pelicans are on their home court (37.6).
The Pelicans have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Grizzlies.

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