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Xavier Tillman

Xavier Tillman Points
Player Prop - 4/2/2023

Chicago Bulls vs Memphis Grizzlies

Xavier Tillman Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Xavier Tillman has converted 80.9% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 19.2% more than he's made in all games this season.

Xavier Tillman has averaged 29.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 11.0 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.

The matchup against Chicago is a strong one for attempts from downtown; when the Bulls are at home, the opposition's starting Cs have totaled the 28th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (1.9).

The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Xavier Tillman has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, 1.0 higher than he's committed over the course of the year on the road.

The Bulls have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games on their home court, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Grizzlies.

When playing at home, the Bulls have allowed the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Xavier Tillman has sunk just 54.9% of his free throw attempts this season, a significant dropoff from his 72.4 rate last season.

Xavier Tillman will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally lowers stat production in all stat categories.

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