Xavier Tillman Points - Player Prop Bet 3/20/2023

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Xavier Tillman

NBA · Player Props

Xavier Tillman

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 20, 2023

Updated Mar 20, 2023 7:56 PM EST

Analysis

Xavier Tillman Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-101/-128).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Xavier Tillman has successfully made 100.0% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 77.9% higher than he's made in all games this season.
The matchup vs. Dallas is a strong one for scoring; when the Mavericks are on the road, the opposing team's starting Cs have put up the 29th-highest Field Goal% in the league this year (62.8%).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the speediest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
While playing on the road, the Mavericks have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Xavier Tillman has tallied 13.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the least-used players in the NBA: 24th percentile.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 9th-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to attempts from beyond the arc.
The Mavericks have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA this year, which should reduce possessions for the Grizzlies.

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