Xavier Tillman Points - Player Prop Bet 3/17/2023

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Xavier Tillman

NBA · Player Props

Xavier Tillman

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Memphis Grizzlies · Mar 17, 2023

Updated Mar 17, 2023 10:01 PM EST

Analysis

Xavier Tillman Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+106/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Xavier Tillman has sunk 84.1% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 23.3% higher than he's made in all games this year when playing on the road.
Xavier Tillman has made 100.0% of his treys over the last 5 games, 77.9% higher than he's converted in all games this season.
The matchup vs. the Spurs is a favorable one for field goals; the opposing team's starting Cs have posted the 28th-highest FG% in the NBA this year (61.2%).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Spurs have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to boost opportunities for the Grizzlies.

Favors Under

Xavier Tillman has averaged 13.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the least-utilized plays in the NBA: 24th percentile.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league without the home court advantage this year when it comes to 3-pointers.
The Spurs have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Xavier Tillman will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling tends to reduces player production in all facets of the game.

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