Xavier Tillman Points - Player Prop Bet 3/9/2023

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Xavier Tillman

NBA · Player Props

Xavier Tillman

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 9, 2023

Updated Mar 10, 2023 12:31 AM EST

Analysis

Xavier Tillman Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Xavier Tillman has converted 100.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games, 77.9% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
While playing away from home, the Warriors have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Xavier Tillman has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 27.6% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

Favors Under

Xavier Tillman has been on the court for 13.1 minutes per game this year, ranking among the least-used players in the NBA: 24th percentile.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 9th-least aggressive offense in the league this year as it relates to attempts from downtown.
The matchup against the Warriors is a hard one for field goals; the opposing team's starting Cs have shot for the 13th-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (52.9%).
The Warriors have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Grizzlies.

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