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Xavier Tillman

Xavier Tillman Points
Player Prop - 3/5/2023

LA Clippers vs Memphis Grizzlies

Xavier Tillman Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+100/-130).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Xavier Tillman has converted 84.1% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 23.3% higher than he's made overall this year while on the road.

Xavier Tillman has sunk 100.0% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 77.9% higher than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year.

The matchup against the Clippers is a favorable one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting Cs have averaged the 26th-most field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (10.0).

The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games.

The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Xavier Tillman has played 13.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court far less than most players in the league: 24th percentile.

The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year as it relates to shots from downtown.

The Clippers have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home city, which should reduce plays for the Grizzlies.

The Clippers have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Xavier Tillman will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually decreases stat production in all facets of the game.

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