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Xavier Tillman

Xavier Tillman Points
Player Prop - 3/3/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies

Xavier Tillman Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Xavier Tillman has converted 84.1% of his field goals over the last 10 games on the road, 23.3% more than he's made over the course of the season while playing away from home.

Xavier Tillman has sunk 100.0% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 77.9% higher than he's made from three in all games this season.

The matchup vs. Denver is a favorable one for scoring; when the Nuggets have the home court advantage, opposing starting Cs have put up the 29th-highest field goal rate in the NBA this year (63.8%).

The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.

The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games at home, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Grizzlies.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Xavier Tillman has been on the court for 13.1 minutes per game this year, some of the lowest playing time of any player in the league: 24th percentile.

The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league away from their home court this year in terms of three-pointers.

The matchup vs. Denver may be a tough one for getting to the free throw line; the opposition's starting Cs have attempted a mere 1.9 free throws per game over the last 20 games when the Nuggets are playing at home (14th-least in the NBA).

Xavier Tillman will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually lowers player performance across the board.

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