Xavier Tillman Points - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Xavier Tillman

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Houston Rockets vs Memphis Grizzlies · Mar 1, 2023

Updated Mar 2, 2023 1:06 AM EST

Analysis

Xavier Tillman Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-128/+104).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Xavier Tillman has converted 84.1% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 23.3% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season when playing away from home.
Xavier Tillman has converted 100.0% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 77.9% more than he's converted from three overall this year.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace in the league over the last 20 games.
The Rockets have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league on their home court this year, which ought to increase opportunities for the Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Xavier Tillman has averaged 13.1 minutes per game this year, ranking among the least-used players in the league: 24th percentile.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year when it comes to shots from downtown.
The matchup vs. the Rockets is a tough one for three-pointers; opposing starting Cs have totaled the 15th-least 3-point shots per game in the NBA this year (0.2).
The Rockets have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Xavier Tillman will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road tends to reduces stat production in all facets of the game.